The Doomben part of the Brisbane Winter Carnival wraps up this Saturday with an absolute cracker of a program, highlighted by the $650,000 Group l James Boag’s Premium Doomben 10,000 (1350m). The racing future of Buffering goes on the line as he looks to bounce back from a fair run in the BTC Cup behind surprise winner Famous Seamous, whom he meets again here. The Boom brothers, Temple Of Boom and Spirit Of Boom, will go at it again, while the likes of Driefontein, Knoydart, Peron and Rebel Dane will go out looking to etch their name on an already incredible honour roll.
The top class racing doesn’t stop with the big one. The youngsters will contest the second leg of the triple crown, the $250,000 Group ll BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1350m), with a well above average field assembled. Horses aiming towards the Brisbane Cup will have their final tune up in the $125,000 Group lll Channel Seven Premier’s Cup (2200m), while the $150,000 Group lll Mullins Lawyers Grand Prix Stakes (2200m) creates plenty of interest given that Telepathic, a highly promising filly from NZ for Donna and Dean Logan, will take on the boys here and then a fortnight later in the Derby.
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Race One (12:20) : Ambassador Travel Handicap (90) 1350m
Back Me: Regular on top for me in what is an open race to kick off the day. He did a stack of work first up at Eagle Farm and only went down narrowly to Time To Plunder, then dropped back to the provincials and ran on his home track the Gold Coast, and from a betting perspective, he was disappointing, but form wise, he was game, sitting well off the pace and taking the lead late in the straight, only to be nabbed right on the post. With the rail out, expect no mucking about from Janette Johnson- She should send this horse straight to the front and take a stack of beating.
Big Danger: Veewap stuck to the task very gamely last week when third to Theft, where that horse was one of many on the program to sit on the pace and kick on to win. He seems to be loving life up North under the care of Robert Heathcoate and ticks plenty of boxes here, so he rates as a massive chance.
Roughie: The drop in class could spark improvement from Trombone Alley, who has struggled in three runs since being a surprise winner of the Goldmarket. I will say though that he hasn’t had a great deal of luck in each of those three runs, but like Regular, he will push forward and give a great sight on his best form.
Race Two (12:55) : NU Turf Queensland Day 1200m
Back Me: The set weights scale just points to Agitate winning this. He is one of the fastest horses out of the gates you will see, and he did exactly that last start in the Mick Dittman and duly saluted. Havana franked that form with a strong win last week in the Fred Best, so he looks the clear horse to beat in that aspect. He is a query at 1200m, but I think if he is ever going to get it, it’ll be against this lot, who aren’t all that flash compared to him.
Big Danger: Siegfried was outclassed and didn’t have the best of luck when resuming at Eagle Farm, then went back to the provincials at the Sunny Coast, and aided by a lovely Browne steer, he powered away from his rivals for an arrogant win. He is a horse who has always shown the ability to be competitive at this level, and now that he has hit a really good vein of form, he rates as a threat if the top tip doesn’t run the distance.
Roughie: Where has Whiskey Allround gone? Just last Spring he was competitive during the Melbourne Spring, but he has gone completely off the boil, and quite frankly has been shocking in two runs this time in. He needs a confidence boost big time, and he may have found the right race to get it even though he has drawn the car park.
Race Three (13:30) : Sita Australia Chief De Beers Handicap 1110m
Back Me: Putting Metallurgical on top. He was specked first up in the Bribie and was unlucky not to win when a narrow second to Pure Purrfection. He normally takes at least two runs to find his best in a preparation, so the fact he ran so well there tells me he could be in for a very good campaign and win a number of races. He’ll get back, but the pace should be white hot here for him to swoop.
Big Danger: Cape Kidnappers didn’t have the best of luck in the Bribie, getting caught wide on a very hot speed but stuck to his guns well for seventh. Drawn much better here, Browne back on board and gets in pretty well at the weights.
Roughie: Avaladyluck resumes here for Stuart Kendrick after a pretty solid Summer campaign, where the highlight was a narrow second to Tukiyo in the Nudgee Quality. Ran a beauty first up last time in and a repeat effort of that would see her be right in the mix here.
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Race Four (14:05) : Programmed Property Services Lord Mayor’s Cup 1615m
Back Me: Looks a lovely race for Wistful to record her first win this prep. She struggled a bit early on in the campaign, racing alongside some good horses including Catkins and Mecir. She dropped back to benchmark level and got her confidence back up with a strong second to Destiny’s Kiss, then went back up to blacktype level and ran a closing second to Leebaz in the Hawkesbury Cup. That horse came out and ran a narrow second to Streama last week in the Doomben Cup, so her form lines are very good for what I’d consider a pretty thin Group lll race. Was a late scratching last week for the Scone Cup where she bumped her head in the float, but that won’t be an excuse here. If she has at least held her form, she should just about win.
Big Danger: Stablemate of the top tip, Cameo was somewhat of a surprise winner of the Scone Cup last week, but she was probably in the same boat as Wistful in the sense that they were struggling to match it with the really good horses and she appreciated the drop in class and a beaut ride by Clipperton to win at Scone. No reason why she can’t win again.
Roughie: Loaded had a really good Winter up here last year, culminating with a win in the Tatt’s Mile over this track/distance. Ran a really good race at Randwick first up behind Kaypers, then caught the eye in the Scone Cup with his closing third. He can handle all conditions, has plenty of upside and the stable is absolutely flying at the moment.
Race Five (14:40) : Glenlogan Park Stakes 1350m
Back Me: I have underestimated Srikandi big time since she has come to Queensland. Her Silk Stocking win was dominant, and last week in the Juanmo, it was just arrogant. Got to step it up a notch here against some really good mares, and has to rise a fair bit in weight, but she is loving her racing at the moment and is handling anything that Ciaron Maher presents her.
Big Danger: La Pieta ran an encouraging second to Srikandi in the Silk Stocking, and I thought she was quite good there considering she was first up and drew near the inside, which wasn’t the place to be. O’Shea is having a wicked start to his time with Darley and I can certainly see this mare turning the tables on the top tip if the breaks go her way.
Roughie: Platinum Rocker was enormous in the Silk Stocking. She was first up, first time away from Perth, first time on a heavy track, carrying topweight of 59kg, copping pressure deluxe in front yet finishes third, beaten under three lengths. I think there is a Group l win in her, whether it be here or back home, so she has to go in as a serious chance here.
Race Six (14:30) : BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes 1350m
Back Me: it was hard not to be impressed by the dominant win of Brazen Beau in the Champagne Classic, aided by a gem from Nash, who slotted the horse into the one out one back spot from barrier nine and never looked like getting beat. It was a bit surprising to see him at such good odds on that day, so expect him to be quite short here, but based on what we saw the other day, and the fact he had improvement left, he shapes as the one to beat.
Big Danger: Aimee probably runs second to Oakleigh Girl as the best juvenile Brisbane has to offer. She is nothing flash, but she knows where the winning post is and doesn’t mind doing some work for it, like she did in the Ken Russell where she got knocked down on the turn, lost all momentum, then picked up and got the chocolates. Query is the trip, but with a sit, I think she can run the 1350m well enough to be in the mix.
Roughie: The unknown here is Pressing. The son of Sebring earned himself a ticket to Brisbane after a demolition job on a wet Caulfield afternoon a few weeks back. What he beat there I don’t know, but the manner in which he let down was quite impressive. It’s always difficult for a Melbourne youngster to perform well racing clockwise for the first time, but he looks capable of winning this and then the J J Atkins.
Race Seven (15:05) : Mullins Lawyers Grand Prix Stakes 2200m
Back Me: Going for some value in the shape of the kiwi, Colonel Carerra. He ran some good races in the early part of the New Zealand autumn behind Puccini, including a second to that horse in the Waikato Guineas. He got flattened badly in a messy running of the Derby over there, freshened up, trialled well and then recorded a most impressive win over 1400m at Rotorua, and ran through the line powerfully, indicating that the quick step up to 2200m here will be no issue. He probably lacks the class of the other kiwis here, but I was really taken by that Rotorua win, and he is at attractive odds.
Big Danger: Interesting to see that Telepathic will take on the boys here instead of Arabian Gold and co in the Oaks. She was very good in the Rough Habit, and is another that will be better suited when they reach the Derby on the bigger track of Eagle Farm. My only query is that four starts back she was comfortably held by Hera, and that filly ran a shocker last week behind Arabian Gold, so there is food for thought, but since then, she has been excellent, so she rates as a massive threat.
Roughie: Glorious Lad has the form on the board from a kiwi point of view, placing several times behind Puccini, including a fast finishing third in the Derby. He was very good in the Rough Habit without a great deal of luck at a critical stage and will appreciate the extra furlong here. Also don’t be worried by the fact that Tye Angland is on because he has a very good friendship with the owner thanks to his Hong Kong stint.
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Race Eight (15:40) : James Boag’s Premium Doomben 10,000 1350m
Back Me: The weather is going to play a big part in who wins this race. I still think Buffering is the best horse in the race, and he has earned enough credits to forgive him for his BTC Cup failure. He didn’t jump and was scrubbed along for a majority of the race to keep up outside the speed. The worrying part is that Browne said afterwards that he didn’t feel right yet scans revealed nothing, so is the grind of racing at the top level for several years finally catching up? We will know after this race, but he is too good of a horse to dismiss totally.
Big Danger: Knoydart had a fantastic Autumn, highlighted by multiple placings at Group l level behind the worlds best sprinter in Lankan Rupee. He was freshened up after the Newmarket and ran an excellent second to Hot Snitzel in the Hall Mark where he just couldn’t quite get the job done given he carried 57kg on a wet track. The WFA scale is probably against him and I think he is more of a Stradbroke type, but O’Shea has been near unbeatable since joining Darley and this horse races so well second up.
Roughie: She might have only finished fifth of seven in the BTC Cup, but I liked the way Peron hit the line. She promised so much during the Spring but bad luck and injury was in her way. This time in, she looks a touch more dour and has need the couple of runs under her belt. She is ticking over nicely for the Tatt’s Tiara, but can still be a force here with the right run.
Race Nine (16:20) : Channel Seven Premiers Cup 2200m
Back Me: Precedence on top for me. He was very good when resuming in the Hollindale, sitting out the back before coming wide and running to the line very nicely, and he even looked a winning chance 250m out. Back to handicap level, and isn’t badly in at the weights when you consider how good he was there first up and before then in the Spring. Looks extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Danchai was crunched in betting for the Chairmans Handicap, but just didn’t handle the home turn at all and that ended up being the difference between victory and defeat when second to Pretty Pins. He has the Brisbane Cup written all over him, especially considering the bigger surroundings of Eagle Farm will suit him perfectly, but in saying that, he is going well enough to win here.
Roughie: Kiwi mare Zennista was a touch disappointing I thought in the Chairmans given she had the gun run behind the speed. The 59kg may have got to her, and she will be better at Eagle Farm, so there may have been excuses for that flop. Not sure she’ll win, but she’ll be more than competitive with the right run.
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Best Bet: Brazen Beau
Next Best: Wistful
Best Roughie: Colonel Carerra
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 2
Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 14
Leg Three: 1, 4, 8, 11
Leg Four: 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
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