Think. Is this a bet you really want to place?
Set a deposit limit.

Stats tip Time For War at odds in JJ Atkins Stakes 2014

Bookmakers are not on his side but statistics suggest Sydney colt Time For War will be hard to beat in the Group One JJ Atkins Stakes at Eagle Farm on Saturday.

Time For War won the first leg of the Brisbane two-year-old double, the BRC Sires two weeks ago but is only fifth favourite for the Atkins (1600m).

Time For War – JJ Atkins Stakes 2014

In an amazing statistic, Time For War, at his current quote of $9, is likely to start the longest-priced winner of the Sires to run in the Atkins.

The Sires has always been the best guide to the Atkins which has had five different names since it was first run in 1976.

The champion sprinter Romantic Dream completed the double that year and since then another 12 juveniles have won both.

Three of the past four winners of the Sires – Zoustar, Sizzling and Pressday, have gone on to win the Atkins.

As two Sires have been washed out in that period it means the race winners have a 33 per cent win strike rate in the Atkins.

On top of that a further seven Sires winners have been placed in the Atkins.

Bookmakers and punters have taken a set against Time For War because for the first time the Sires was run at Doomben and the track had a major leader bias.

Time For War’s trainer Gerald Ryan isn’t getting carried away but pointed out his colt had run fourth in the AJC Sires on a bog track.

“He led all the way last time and did the hard work. He deserves his chance at another Group One,” Ryan said.

Meanwhile, syndicate boss Grant Morgan believes his runner Brazen Beau, who was an unlucky second in the Sires, will justify his short quote ($2.10 fav) in the Atkins.

“Nash (Rawiller) got off him after the Sires and said he could hardly wait for the Atkins. He felt the 1600m would suit him perfectly,” Morgan said.

Brisbane trainer Liam Birchley has called on Group One star Glen Boss to turn around the fortunes of his filly Sagatona, who has been specked at huge odds in the Atkins.

Sagatona, who is generally regarded as the best maiden two-year-old in Queensland, has been hamstrung by wet tracks and bad barriers for much of her career.

However, Birchley said he had been waiting to get her out to 1600m.

Think. Is this a bet you really want to place?
For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Exit mobile version