We take a look at Monday’s (20/1/2020) NFL Conference Championships 2020 match which is between the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs. View the odds for both sides as well as our Tips and Bets for the match.
When: Monday 20th January, 7:05AM
Bet ?: Bet On This Match HERE
Preview:
One of the most unlikely AFC Championship scenarios became a reality last week as the Titans pulled off a season-defining upset over the Ravens in Baltimore.
Tennessee was laying +10 against the previous Super Bowl favourites, and not surprisingly, Mike Vrabel’s team finds itself sporting a similar +7.5 spread this time around at Arrowhead.
Chiefs bettors will be hoping Kansas City can come good on their 5-3-1 record as the home favourite this week and win by more than a touchdown. Last week those same bettors rode the highs and lows after the Chiefs fell behind 21-0 in the first quarter, right before scoring six straight touchdowns to go on and win 51-31.
Often you can get a pretty good feel about a game based on trends, but this time of year normally calls for more detailed analysis.
Firstly, you don’t have to be a genius to work out that this all boils down to Derrick Henry vs the Kansas City defence.
If you’ve caught a glimpse of Henry over the last two weeks, you might already know who’s winning the battle. Henry has rushed for over 180-yards in both playoff games so far – which need we remind you, came against two of the league’s best rushing defences.
Torching the Patriots and Ravens is a good form guide as to how Henry should perform this weekend. The Chiefs finished the regular season ranked sixth in rushing yards allowed, and it’s also worth noting Henry has averaged 7.69 yards per-carry in just two games against Kansas City.
Secondly, these two sides are complete opposites. You wouldn’t know it judging by last week, but Tennessee has scored only five touchdowns in the first half this season, compared to the 18 they’ve scored in the second.
Compare to that to the Chiefs defensively, and it spells trouble for the home side. Kansas City has allowed 21 touchdowns in the second half this year, meaning this goes well beyond what Patrick Mahomes might be capable of doing against the Tennessee defence.
Overall, it’s likely the same old problem costs the Chiefs for the second year in a row: run defence.
Tennessee has also won four of their last five games against the Chiefs to go with a 4-2 record against the spread as the away underdog, so any way you look at it, take this generous +7.5 line and run.
Odds:
Tip: Kansas City Chiefs at $1.26
*Odds correct at time of posting. Subject to change
