McDonald Jones Stadium will play host to Friday's Round 5 NRL game between Newcastle Knights and St. George Illawarra Dragons. The game kicks off at 8:05 pm with Newcastle Knights heading into the game as favourites with the bookmakers. Continue reading for our in-depth preview of the Newcastle Knights vs. St. George Illawarra Dragons game and give you our free tips and bets.

When: Friday April 5, 2024 at 8:05 pm

Where: McDonald Jones Stadium

Bet 💰: Bet On This Match HERE

Newcastle Knights vs St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

Newcastle Knights vs St. George Illawarra Dragons Preview

The Knights are priced too high given their current form, inconsistent halves pairings, and heavy reliance on a single player.

Teams at the bottom of the ladder, favoured by four or more points, historically cover only 35% of the time, making Newcastle’s odds unappealing.

The Dragons have a strong record in Newcastle, winning five of their last seven matchups.

Road teams coming off a win of seven or more points, facing a home team coming off a loss by the same margin, cover the spread 57% of the time in the first eight rounds of the season.

Backing St. George Illawarra to cover and potentially win is a smart play.

Tyrell Sloan has excelled under the coaching of Flanagan, scoring six tries in four games this season.

Kalyn Ponga has a history of success against the Dragons, scoring four tries in his last three encounters.