Experience on the big stage is predicted to be a defining factor in Sunday night’s NRL grand final and Melbourne are well backed $1.70 favourites at TAB to defeat Penrith ($2.25).
The Storm will be playing in their fourth grand final in five years while the Panthers have not contested a premiership decider since winning their second title in 2003 against the Sydney Roosters.
Since the grand finalists were confirmed last Saturday night, the Storm have received 67 percent of support from TAB customers with the biggest wager a $25,000 bet at $1.75 to potentially collect $43,750.
The Panthers have drifted from an opening price of $2.10 to $2.25 despite one TAB punter placing $20,000 at $2.15 on the minor premiers last Monday.
“Despite their 17-game winning streak, Penrith are being ignored by most TAB punters even though Melbourne did lose the 2016 and 2018 grand finals to Cronulla and the Sydney Roosters respectively,” TAB’s Trent Langskaill said.
Cameron Smith ($3.75 favourite) has received the most support (30 percent) from TAB punters to win the Clive Churchill Medal with Nathan Cleary ($4.25) attracting 25 percent of interest.
Josh Addo-Carr ($8.50 favourite) has garnered 15 percent of backing from TAB customers to score the first try on Sunday night ahead of Viliame Kikau ($21; 12 percent) and Suliasi Vunivalu ($10; 11 percent).
TAB’s round-by-round odds comparison for the 2020 NRL premiership is attached along with a less detailed comparison highlighting prices once the market opened, start of season, lowest and highest price, and current price.
2020 NRL Grand Final
Head To Head
$2.25 Penrith opened $2.10 Saturday 9:40pm
$1.70 Melbourne opened $1.75 Saturday 9:40pm
Sunday 7:30pm AEDT at ANZ Stadium
Normal Time Margin
$2.90 Melbourne to win by 1-12 points
$3.30 Penrith to win by 1-12 points
$3.70 Melbourne to win by 13+ points
$5.50 Penrith to win by 13+ points
$18 Draw at end of normal time
First Tryscorer
$8.50 Josh Addo-Carr
$10 Suliasi Vunvalu
$11 Brian To’o
$12 Josh Mansour
$13 Stephen Crichton
Ryan Papenhuyzen
$14 Paul Momirovski
$15 Justin Olam
$16 Tom Eisenhuth
$17 Brent Naden
$19 Nicho Hynes
$21 Matt Burton
Viliame Kikau
Brenko Lee
Dean Whare
$26+ Others Quoted
TOP 5 IN TERMS OF TAKE
- Josh Addo-Carr ($8.50) 15%
- Viliame Kikau ($21) 12%
- Suliasi Vunivalu ($10) 11%
- Jesse Bromwich ($81) 8%
- Ryan Papenhuyzen ($13) 5%
Clive Churchill Medal
$3.75 Cameron Smith
$4.25 Nathan Cleary
$8 Cameron Munster
$10 Jahrome Hughes
Ryan Papenhuyzen
$11 Apisai Koroisau
$13 Jarome Luai
$17 Viliame Kikau
$21 Isaah Yeo
$23 James Fisher-Harris
$26 Dylan Edwards
$34+ Others Quoted
TOP 5 IN TERMS OF TAKE
- Cameron Smith ($3.75) 30%
- Nathan Cleary ($4.25) 25%
- Ryan Papenhuyzen ($10) 7%
- Jarome Luai ($13) 4%
- Cameron Munster ($8 4%
TAB BETS OF NOTE ON 2020 NRL PREMIERSHIP
Penrith
$7700 @ $13 to collect $100,100 {March 23}
$20,000 @ $4 to collect $80,000 {August 20}
$5000 @ $7.50 collect $37,500 {July 9}
$9000 @ $2.75 to collect $24,750 {October 7}
$8000 @ $2.75 to collect $22,000 {October 6}
$900 @ $21 to collect $18,900 {December 7 last year}
$740 @ $23 to collect $17,020 {November 24 last year}
$1500 @ $10 to collect $15,000 {June 26}
$2560 @ $4.50 to collect $11,520 {August 14}
$500 @ $23 to collect $11,500 {November 28 last year}
$2150 @ $9.45 [collect $20,317.50] on Rafael Nadal (2020 French Open Men’s Winner) | Penrith {October 1}
$25,000 @ $18 [collect $450,000] on Geelong-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 1}
$2000 @ $19.60 [collect $39,200] on Lachie Neale (2020 Brownlow Medal) | Richmond (2020 AFL Premiership) | Penrith {August 30}
$1000 @ $39 [collect $39,000] on Richmond-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {July 20}
$2000 @ $11.50 [collect $23,000] on Richmond-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 25}
$1000 @ $17.98 [collect $17,980] on Dominic Thiem v Alexander Zverev (2020 US Open Men’s Final – Thiem won 2-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6) | Lachie Neale (2020 Brownlow Medal) | Richmond (2020 AFL Premiership) | Penrith {September 13}
$1000 @ $16 [collect $16,000] on Geelong-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 6}
$100 @ $154 [collect $15,400] on Classique Legend (won TAB Everest at Randwick on October 17) | Richmond (2020 AFL Premiership) | Penrith {September 6}
$1000 @ $15 [collect $15,000] on Richmond-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 2}
$500 @ $27 [collect $13,500] on Richmond-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {August 10}
$750 @ $16 [collect $12,000] on Geelong-Penrith (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 8}
Melbourne
$20,000 @ $4 to collect $80,000 {August 31}
$20,000 @ $3.25 to collect $65,000 {October 3}
$8000 @ $4 to collect $32,000 {August 24}
$3300 @ $6.50 to collect $21,450 {March 11}
$2500 @ $7.50 to collect $18,750 {July 2}
$6000 @ $3 to collect $18,000 {October 9}
$4000 @ $3.75 to collect $15,000 {August 19}
$3000 @ $5 to collect $15,000 {August 5}
$8000 @ $1.80 to collect $14,400 {October 17}
$2000 @ $6.50 to collect $13,000 {February 5}
$2000 @ $12.18 [collect $24,360] on Geelong (2020 AFL Grand Final Team) | Melbourne {August 19}
$2000 @ $12 [collect $24,000] on Geelong (2020 AFL Grand Final Team) | Melbourne {October 10}
$1000 @ $90 [collect $90,000] on Geelong-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {June 4}
$5000 @ $13 [collect $65,000] on Richmond-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {September 21}
$5000 @ $10.50 [collect $52,500] on Richmond-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {October 11}
$5000 @ $10.45 [collect $52,250] on Richmond (2020 AFL Premiership) | Melbourne {October 12}
$1500 @ $24.75 [collect $37,125] on Geelong-Richmond (2020 AFL Exacta) | Melbourne {October 16}
$400 @ $90 [collect $36,000] on Geelong-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {July 1}
$500 @ $63.25 [collect $31,625] on Joel Selwood (2020 Norm Smith Medal) | Melbourne {October 16}
$2100 @ $12 [collect $25,200] on Geelong-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {October 16}
$1000 @ $23 [collect $23,000] on Geelong-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {August 19}
$6000 @ $3.40 [collect $20,400] on Geelong-Melbourne (2020 AFL-NRL Premiership Double) {October 22}
TO WIN GRAND FINAL (OPENED LAST SATURDAY NIGHT)
Penrith
$20,000 @ $2.15 to collect $43,000 {October 19}
$10,000 @ $2.10 to collect $21,000 {October 17}
$9000 @ $2.20 to collect $19,800 {October 22}
$5120 @ $2.15 to collect $11,008 {October 18}
$4190 @ $2.15 to collect $9,008.50 {October 18}
Melbourne
$25,000 @ $1.75 to collect $43,750 {October 19}
$10,000 @ $1.75 to collect $17,500 {October 18}
$10,000 @ $1.70 to collect $17,000 {October 20}
$9000 @ $1.75 to collect $15,750 {October 18}
$8000 @ $1.75 to collect $14,000 {October 18}
$6000 @ $1.75 to collect $10,500 {October 18} ** two separate bets **
$3000 @ $3.31 [collect $9,930] on Arizona v Dallas (NFL Week 6 – Arizona won 38-10) | Melbourne {October 20}